The Central African Republic (CAR) is a landlocked country in sub-Saharan Africa and has a population of 6.1 million, ranking among the lowest on the human capital and development indices. Poverty in CAR is widespread, with nearly 70% of its population living in extreme poverty. Its history of conflict and political displacement has undermined economic growth for several reasons, such as reduced business investments. The country suffers from fragility. Its weak government has limited legitimacy and struggles to provide basic public services, including the rule of law. Fragility and the rule of law in CAR need addressing.

Politics, Violence and Economy

CAR has a long history of instability, state disintegration and political violence. It straddles the Sahel region, with a majority Muslim population, while savanna communities are mainly Christian. The conflict has regularly broken out between the Muslim ex-Seleka rebels and the Christian anti-balaka rebels. In 2013, Seleka rebels stormed the capital, Bangui and the country descended into a brutal civil war that continues in some parts of the country.

CAR suffers acutely from gender-based violence (GBV) against women and girls, recording 23.644 cases of GBV in 2022. Inadequate food and water resources, poor health care and weak housing infrastructure exacerbate tensions within households. These challenges, along with socio-cultural norms that are unfavorable to women, have led to sub-optimal survival strategies.

An unstable economy also influences fragility in CAR. Its government has failed to provide basic public goods, including water, food and health care. Poor education and job insecurity have stunted its growth. CAR has a rich endowment of natural resources but has not benefited due to mismanagement. According to the World Bank, the country has also suffered from flooding, fuel shortages and declining international timber trading. These challenges risk an already fragile economy.

Solutions

MINUSCA is a multidimensional United Nations peacekeeping operation set up by the Security Council in 2014. Its mission is to assist CAR in building national stability. It prioritizes the country’s security, rule of law, human rights and political crisis. MINUSCA provides military and police services from regions such as Rwanda to handle disarmament, demobilization and reintegration in CAR.

Cooperazione Internazionale (COOPI) focuses on supporting victims of GBV in CAR. Women and girls gather in a welcoming home in Bangassou where they are encouraged to participate in activities such as knitting and patternmaking, providing them with psychosocial support.

Pelvia, an 18-year-old girl spoke about the positive effect COOPI has had on her life. She spoke about the skills she has learned and how they have provided her with an income to buy necessities that she would otherwise be unable to afford. Pelvia is also glad for the company and support of the other women and girls who have shared similar traumatic experiences, UNOCHA reports.

Economic Growth

CAR receives most of its financial aid from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). In June 2024, the IMF approved an extended $25 million disbursement to continue the push for economic growth in CAR. The aid has been distributed to assist the economy and sustain priority spending on basic public services. The IMF forecasts that CAR’s economy will grow by 1.4% in 2024.

Looking Ahead

Fragility and rule of law in CAR are improving. The country has a long road to stability but there are positive forecasts for its future. 

The Economist Intelligence reports that the country’s economic activity will continue to rise over the next few years, with help from the IMF’s funded program. Whilst many areas of CAR are still overrun by rebel groups, the government, with assistance from Russian and Rwandan forces, has control over several major cities, including the capital. This allows for a more stabilized political structure and open rule of law in these areas.

– Millie Trussler

Millie is based in London, UK and focuses on Politics for The Borgen Project.

Photo: Flickr